Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.212923 0.228624 0.245197 0.264043 0.284937 0.307459 0.333661
2025-12-14 0.183759 0.206014 0.230961 0.261210 0.297179 0.338944 0.391646
2025-12-21 0.163523 0.188717 0.218139 0.255455 0.302134 0.359439 0.436467
2025-12-28 0.154054 0.182118 0.216036 0.260747 0.319224 0.394716 0.502357
2026-01-04 0.145672 0.175631 0.212880 0.263606 0.332536 0.425552 0.565464
2026-01-11 0.137735 0.168813 0.208388 0.263797 0.341643 0.450910 0.623489
2026-01-18 0.129179 0.160444 0.201036 0.259187 0.343197 0.465142 0.666134
2026-01-25 0.120902 0.151832 0.192647 0.252263 0.340472 0.472311 0.698002
2026-02-01 0.114463 0.145252 0.186512 0.247904 0.340868 0.483862 0.738118
2026-02-08 0.108375 0.138780 0.180078 0.242541 0.339102 0.491537 0.772230
2026-02-15 0.103403 0.133569 0.175075 0.238857 0.339472 0.502451 0.813347
2026-02-22 0.100509 0.131090 0.173779 0.240561 0.348359 0.528242 0.885934
2026-03-01 0.096706 0.127241 0.170430 0.239116 0.352386 0.546781 0.949117
2026-03-08 0.093260 0.123758 0.167455 0.238082 0.357064 0.567129 1.020207
2026-03-15 0.089071 0.118994 0.162304 0.233211 0.354725 0.574251 1.064172
2026-03-22 0.087661 0.118220 0.163089 0.237907 0.369316 0.614821 1.191315
2026-03-29 0.085811 0.116690 0.162606 0.240431 0.380189 0.649446 1.312660
2026-04-05 0.083533 0.114404 0.160814 0.240600 0.386698 0.675985 1.420242
2026-04-12 0.080445 0.110760 0.156704 0.236536 0.384885 0.684843 1.483186
2026-04-19 0.077094 0.106590 0.151584 0.230426 0.378671 0.683535 1.517841
2026-04-26 0.074425 0.103381 0.147871 0.226575 0.376547 0.690977 1.579676
2026-05-03 0.071718 0.100022 0.143780 0.221833 0.372305 0.693189 1.626665
2026-05-10 0.069461 0.097294 0.140613 0.218573 0.370781 0.701479 1.694901